
Headline figures at maturity — ramp & 10-yr cashflow below
Utilization follows an S-curve toward saturation. With the cash sweep on, every surplus dollar pays down principal — so the loan balance falls fast once utilization builds, and FC starts collecting the moment it hits zero.
Every dollar of FC's surplus sweeps to principal. With 3-year interest-only up front, the loan retires in Year 6 — FC collects $0 until then, after which property steps 10% → 20% and FC takes the full residual. Stronger utilization retires it sooner.
| Y1 | Y2 | Y3 | Y4 | Y5 | Y6 | Y7 | Y8 | Y9 | Y10 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Utilization (kWh/day) | 10 | 15 | 20 | 25 | 28 | 30 | 31 | 32 | 32 | 32 |
| Gross revenue | $9,414 | $14,120 | $18,827 | $22,651 | $25,593 | $27,358 | $28,535 | $29,123 | $29,417 | $29,417 |
| Net to lockbox | $5,299 | $7,948 | $10,597 | $12,750 | $14,405 | $15,399 | $16,061 | $16,392 | $16,558 | $16,558 |
| − Interest | $2,550 | $2,550 | $2,413 | $2,025 | $1,404 | $572 | — | — | — | — |
| − O&M / Care+ | $3,240 | $3,240 | $3,240 | $3,240 | $3,240 | $3,240 | $3,240 | $3,240 | $3,240 | $3,240 |
| − Property share | $530 | $795 | $1,060 | $1,275 | $1,441 | $1,540 | $3,212 | $3,278 | $3,312 | $3,312 |
| → Debt paydown (sweep) | — | $1,363 | $3,884 | $6,209 | $8,321 | $5,721 | — | — | — | — |
| Loan balance (EOY) | $25,498 | $24,135 | $20,251 | $14,042 | $5,721 | paid off | paid off | paid off | paid off | paid off |
| FC surplus | −$1,021 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $4,326 | $9,609 | $9,874 | $10,006 | $10,006 |
| Cumulative FC | −$1,021 | −$1,021 | −$1,021 | −$1,021 | −$1,021 | $3,305 | $12,914 | $22,787 | $32,794 | $42,800 |